China Adoption Forecast's prediction:-Our prediction for LID 2007-Aug-16
Our best guess - a weighted average of recent CCAA velocities, guessing that CCAA will perform about as well in the future as they are performing now, but might return to previous trends: 2013-July-06
That's our best guess for when you might receive your referral. Just at a guess, we can suppose that the CCAA either speeds up or slows down significantly, and show you those dates. If they speed up: 2010-Aug-24. And if they slow down: 2019-Jan-29.
So according to this mathematical referral prediction we will most probably receive our referral in 2013 (6 year wait). If there is a speed up 2010 (3 year wait) and (please please no) if there is a further slowdown 2019 (22 year wait). What is the point of this?? Three years I can just about fathom, four at a push - but SIX YEARS??? OMG!!!!!!!!
5 comments:
Can I just check, do you mean "12" year wait, not "22"?
Love LMS
xxxxxxxx
Do the sums - 2007 to 2019 is how many years??? That (I hope!!) is a totally absolute worst case scenario, that will never happen though.
Love
Mummy
xxxx
Janet...it can't be true.That Chinaforecast thingy ..I have discovered is wrong..thank the lord!
It gives weird dates!!
Our latest was end of 2010!!
The chinaforecast website changes its predictions depending on how far the last lot of referrals went, so it does show different dates each month!! I've got everything crossed that they are wrong and that somehow the CCAA can speed up.
Love
Janet
I have fiddled about with the dates and for Sept 06 LID it says May 2010 and for Nov 06..it says DEC 2010..to me it can't take that length of time? They haven't a clue how many dossiers...it will be interesting to see the figures for 07 and how many adoptions were done from the US in 07.I know it had gone down last year.I think there will be even less this year.
2005 was their biggest year ..ever.My only concern is that March is a big month.
Post a Comment